Lineup Intelligence · San Diego · Sept 26–27 2026
CRSSD Fall 2026:
what the lineup is really worth
We ran the CRSSD Fall 2026 bill through PEAKTIME's demand model: estimating the talent budget, then scoring each act on momentum, value, live conversion and market freshness. Here's where the money went, who's underpriced, and who'll actually move tickets.
~$1,564,000
Est. talent budget (2 days)
16%
On the headline b2b alone
34 / 44
Acts tracked by PEAKTIME
Where the budget went
Estimated booking fee per act as a share of the ~$1,564,000 total. House/pop main stage in lime, melodic/tech-house in blue, techno in orange.
Main / house · $508,000
Tech house · $542,000
Techno · $514,000
Chris Lake b2b Disclosure●TRACKED
$250,000 · 16.0%
Skepta presents Más Tiempo
$95,000 · 6.1%
Mochakk●TRACKED
$85,000 · 5.4%
Sonny Fodera●TRACKED
$85,000 · 5.4%
I Hate Models●TRACKED
$75,000 · 4.8%
Groove Armada●TRACKED
$60,000 · 3.8%
ROSSI. b2b Carlita●TRACKED
$55,000 · 3.5%
999999999●TRACKED
$55,000 · 3.5%
Ben UFO●TRACKED
$50,000 · 3.2%
KETTAMA●TRACKED
$48,000 · 3.1%
Layton Giordani●TRACKED
$45,000 · 2.9%
Mathame●TRACKED
$45,000 · 2.9%
Helena Hauff●TRACKED
$45,000 · 2.9%
KAS:ST●TRACKED
$45,000 · 2.9%
Prospa●TRACKED
$42,000 · 2.7%
Marlon Hoffstadt●TRACKED
$35,000 · 2.2%
VTSS●TRACKED
$33,000 · 2.1%
salute●TRACKED
$30,000 · 1.9%
Sébastien Tellier
$28,000 · 1.8%
Torren Foot●TRACKED
$26,000 · 1.7%
AYYBO●TRACKED
$20,000 · 1.3%
Jay de Lys●TRACKED
$20,000 · 1.3%
Horsegiirl
$18,000 · 1.2%
Arodes●TRACKED
$18,000 · 1.2%
Jamback●TRACKED
$16,000 · 1.0%
Chasewest●TRACKED
$14,000 · 0.9%
Rafael●TRACKED
$14,000 · 0.9%
MPH●TRACKED
$14,000 · 0.9%
Balu Brigada
$12,000 · 0.8%
Locklead●TRACKED
$12,000 · 0.8%
Sam Alfred●TRACKED
$12,000 · 0.8%
Notion●TRACKED
$11,000 · 0.7%
Greg 99●TRACKED
$11,000 · 0.7%
Marco Strous●TRACKED
$11,000 · 0.7%
Mind Enterprises
$9,000 · 0.6%
Genesi●TRACKED
$9,000 · 0.6%
Dean Turnley●TRACKED
$9,000 · 0.6%
Son of Son●TRACKED
$9,000 · 0.6%
oskar med k●TRACKED
$6,000 · 0.4%
Key wins & watch-outs
Smartest buyProspa: booked low, demand high
#4 on the index, momentum 56, Beatport 95, RA 88, flagged a Strong Buy (demand implies a £70–150K tier vs an estimated ~$42K here). The fee almost certainly jumps before the next CRSSD.
Value mid-cardKETTAMA & Carlita punch up
KETTAMA carries a 66 live-conversion score: his RA crowd dwarfs his streaming, so he overdelivers on a festival stage relative to a ~$48K fee. Carlita flags underpriced too. Classic margin bookings.
Paying for the nameThe headline b2b is a marquee, not a deal
Chris Lake b2b Disclosure eats 16% of the budget, and both read Priced ahead: fees hotter than current momentum (Disclosure 20, Chris Lake 5, both flat). It sells the festival; it isn't a value play.
Breakout to watchRossi. is accelerating fast
Momentum 75, among the steepest on the whole bill, at an estimated b2b-shared fee. Booked early enough that the b2b-with-Carlita slot looks like a steal in hindsight if the climb continues.
Market saturation, this is a San Diego date
West-coast fatigue risk
- Chris Lake is heavily worked on the US West Coast, Las Vegas (2 shows/3mo) and SF/Oakland, so the "event" scarcity is low for a SoCal crowd.
- KETTAMA is maxed in SF/Oakland (5 shows/3mo, saturation 100) and has already hit San Diego this quarter, some local-fatigue risk despite the value.
- Mathame recently played both San Diego and LA, regionally present.
- Upside: Disclosure, Prospa, Carlita, I Hate Models, Ben UFO, Helena Hauff carry their saturation in other markets, comparatively fresh for Southern California.
Streaming ≠ tickets
The number a streaming chart hides, RA live-attendance relative to streaming reach. The contrast on this bill is stark:
Converts above its weight
- Sam Alfred, conversion 85/100 on just 0.2M listeners
- VTSS, conversion 79/100 on just 0.2M listeners
- Arodes, conversion 75/100 on just 0.9M listeners
- Chasewest, conversion 73/100 on just 0.1M listeners
Niche draw > streaming size, the value end of the bill.
Big streams, soft live demand
- Notion, 11.6M listeners but conversion 3/100
- oskar med k, 10.5M listeners but conversion 3/100
- Chris Lake b2b Disclosure, 8.8M listeners but conversion 0/100
- Sonny Fodera, 8.4M listeners but conversion 8/100
- Marlon Hoffstadt, 6.6M listeners but conversion 19/100
Great for the on-sale headline, riskier as a room-filling booking.
Who actually drives ticket sales
Three different jobs on this bill: the marquee (Chris Lake b2b Disclosure, Skepta, Mochakk, Sonny Fodera) sells the on-sale; the scene-credibility techno block (I Hate Models, Ben UFO, Helena Hauff, 999999999, VTSS: all high RA booking demand) sells the festival's underground bona fides and converts the hardcore; and the value mid-card (Prospa, KETTAMA, Carlita, Jamback) over-delivers relative to spend. The hidden engine is live-conversion: acts like KETTAMA and Helena Hauff turn modest streaming into outsized room demand, exactly what a discerning buyer wants.
The tracked acts, by the numbers
| Artist | Rank | Est. fee | Mom. | Value | Conv. | BP | RA |
|---|
| Chris Lake b2b Disclosure |
#1 |
$250,000 |
20 |
Priced ahead |
0 |
75 |
45 |
| Prospa |
#4 |
$42,000 |
56 |
★ Strong buy |
38 |
95 |
88 |
| KETTAMA |
#37 |
$48,000 |
27 |
Underpriced |
68 |
29 |
76 |
| AYYBO |
#77 |
$20,000 |
58 |
— |
— |
79 |
— |
| Jamback |
#84 |
$16,000 |
— |
— |
63 |
84 |
83 |
| Layton Giordani |
#98 |
$45,000 |
— |
— |
13 |
48 |
46 |
| Arodes |
#108 |
$18,000 |
— |
— |
75 |
65 |
80 |
| Mochakk |
#109 |
$85,000 |
— |
— |
29 |
72 |
48 |
| ROSSI. b2b Carlita |
#127 |
$55,000 |
75 |
Underpriced |
33 |
24 |
57 |
| Helena Hauff |
#156 |
$45,000 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
87 |
| Rafael |
#164 |
$14,000 |
— |
— |
— |
88 |
38 |
| Ben UFO |
#175 |
$50,000 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
85 |
| Sonny Fodera |
#191 |
$85,000 |
— |
— |
8 |
— |
47 |
| Jay de Lys |
#197 |
$20,000 |
— |
— |
61 |
39 |
49 |
| Groove Armada |
#204 |
$60,000 |
— |
— |
28 |
— |
57 |
| oskar med k |
#215 |
$6,000 |
— |
— |
3 |
23 |
34 |
| Mathame |
#231 |
$45,000 |
— |
— |
9 |
— |
45 |
| Locklead |
#242 |
$12,000 |
— |
— |
40 |
— |
46 |
| Notion |
#250 |
$11,000 |
— |
— |
3 |
— |
47 |
| I Hate Models |
#253 |
$75,000 |
— |
— |
40 |
— |
53 |
| Marlon Hoffstadt |
#259 |
$35,000 |
— |
— |
19 |
— |
46 |
| Son of Son |
#264 |
$9,000 |
— |
— |
14 |
34 |
49 |
| VTSS |
#282 |
$33,000 |
— |
— |
79 |
— |
67 |
| 999999999 |
#283 |
$55,000 |
— |
— |
58 |
— |
51 |
| Dean Turnley |
#288 |
$9,000 |
— |
— |
— |
63 |
4 |
| salute |
#297 |
$30,000 |
— |
— |
66 |
— |
58 |
| KAS:ST |
#299 |
$45,000 |
— |
— |
53 |
— |
48 |
| Sam Alfred |
#308 |
$12,000 |
— |
— |
85 |
— |
64 |
| Chasewest |
#322 |
$14,000 |
— |
— |
73 |
— |
42 |
| Torren Foot |
#323 |
$26,000 |
— |
— |
12 |
— |
10 |
| Marco Strous |
#324 |
$11,000 |
— |
— |
28 |
— |
28 |
| Genesi |
#325 |
$9,000 |
— |
— |
21 |
— |
25 |
| MPH |
#326 |
$14,000 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| Greg 99 |
#327 |
$11,000 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Method & caveats. Booking fees are PEAKTIME editorial estimates for a US festival booking (USD), not confirmed contracts: actual fees vary with routing, exclusivity and timing. b2b and "presents" slots are costed as a single line. Rank, momentum, value, live-conversion, Beatport and RA figures are live from thedjrankings.com for the 34 acts the roster currently tracks; blanks are acts/data we don't yet cover. Demand signals from public sources (Spotify, Beatport, Resident Advisor, Google Trends, Wikipedia). Not affiliated with CRSSD or FNGRS CRSSD.
PEAKTIME · the demand index for electronic music · thedjrankings.com