Lineup Intelligence · Miami · Oct 16–17 2026
III Points 2026:
what the lineup is really worth
We ran the III Points 2026 bill through PEAKTIME's demand model: estimating the talent budget, then scoring each act on momentum, value, live conversion and Miami-market freshness. III Points isn't a pure dance festival, so the money splits three ways. Here's where it went, who's underpriced, and who'll actually move tickets.
~$2,290,000
Est. talent budget (curated top 62)
62
Acts costed (full bill is larger)
38%
Spent outside the dance lane
29 / 62
Acts tracked by PEAKTIME
Where the budget went
Estimated booking fee per act as a share of the ~$2,290,000 costed total. III Points buys across three lanes: electronic / dance in lime, live / indie / alt in blue, hip-hop / rap in orange. PEAKTIME tracks the dance lane, the rest is curation.
Electronic / dance · $1,420,000
Live / indie / alt · $552,000
Hip-hop / rap · $318,000
Underworld
$120,000 · 5.2%
Marco Carola b2b Franky Rizardo●TRACKED
$95,000 · 4.1%
Four Tet●TRACKED
$90,000 · 3.9%
Charlotte de Witte●TRACKED
$85,000 · 3.7%
Adam Port●TRACKED
$70,000 · 3.1%
Vintage Culture b2b Max Styler●TRACKED
$70,000 · 3.1%
Blood Orange
$70,000 · 3.1%
Men I Trust
$70,000 · 3.1%
Cloonee●TRACKED
$60,000 · 2.6%
Flying Lotus
$55,000 · 2.4%
Honey Dijon●TRACKED
$50,000 · 2.2%
Floating Points●TRACKED
$50,000 · 2.2%
Danny Brown
$50,000 · 2.2%
Bone Thugs-N-Harmony
$50,000 · 2.2%
PAWSA●TRACKED
$45,000 · 2.0%
Disco Lines●TRACKED
$45,000 · 2.0%
Purity Ring
$45,000 · 2.0%
GZA performing Liquid Swords
$45,000 · 2.0%
KETTAMA●TRACKED
$40,000 · 1.7%
DJ Harvey●TRACKED
$38,000 · 1.7%
Seth Troxler●TRACKED
$35,000 · 1.5%
Beltran b2b Ben Sterling●TRACKED
$35,000 · 1.5%
999999999●TRACKED
$35,000 · 1.5%
Interplanetary Criminal
$30,000 · 1.3%
HAAi●TRACKED
$30,000 · 1.3%
Tiga●TRACKED
$30,000 · 1.3%
Connan Mockasin
$30,000 · 1.3%
VTSS●TRACKED
$28,000 · 1.2%
Machine Girl
$25,000 · 1.1%
Shanti Celeste b2b Peach
$24,000 · 1.0%
Nick León b2b Safety Trance
$22,000 · 1.0%
Max Dean b2b Luke Dean●TRACKED
$22,000 · 1.0%
Roman Flügel●TRACKED
$20,000 · 0.9%
Danny Daze●TRACKED
$18,000 · 0.8%
Jacques Greene
$18,000 · 0.8%
Jane Remover
$18,000 · 0.8%
Ahmed Spins b2b Rafael●TRACKED
$16,000 · 0.7%
Levity b2b Taiki Nulight
$16,000 · 0.7%
Discip●TRACKED
$14,000 · 0.6%
Chanel Beads
$14,000 · 0.6%
YHWH Nailgun
$12,000 · 0.5%
Sam Alfred●TRACKED
$11,000 · 0.5%
Dean Turnley●TRACKED
$10,000 · 0.4%
Roddy Lima●TRACKED
$10,000 · 0.4%
Brunello●TRACKED
$9,000 · 0.4%
Chasewest●TRACKED
$9,000 · 0.4%
Marco Strous●TRACKED
$9,000 · 0.4%
Mind Enterprises
$9,000 · 0.4%
Key wins & watch-outs
Smartest buyKETTAMA: converts, and fresh for Miami
Flagged a Strong Buy at ~$40K: live-conversion 71, RA 76, his room demand dwarfs his streaming. And the saturation math favours this date: he's maxed out in SF/Oakland (5 shows/3mo, saturation 100) but carries no recent Miami play. Value and scarcity in the same booking.
Value mid-cardPAWSA & the Carola b2b punch up
PAWSA: #25 on the index, momentum 72, RA 85 (top-five on the whole bill), a Strong Buy at ~$45K. Inside the headline tech-house b2b, Franky Rizardo also reads underpriced (momentum 41, strong-buy), so the Marco Carola slot carries real demand value even with Carola himself outside our roster.
Paying for the nameThe marquee is curation, not a deal
The biggest lines: Underworld (5% of the costed budget), Lil' Kim, Blood Orange, Men I Trust, sit outside the dance-demand model entirely. They sell III Points' eclectic identity, not booking value. Inside the dance lane, Four Tet reads Priced ahead (premium; momentum cooled to 16).
Breakout to watchDiscip is the steepest climb on the bill
Momentum 83, the highest of any tracked act here, booked deep in the undercard at an estimated ~$14K. Dean Turnley (momentum 71) and Roddy Lima (60) are climbing fast too. Early-booked accelerators that look like steals in hindsight if the curve holds.
Market saturation, this is a Miami date
Club-Space fatigue risk
- Chasewest carries Miami saturation 76 (3 shows/3mo): a Club Space regular, maximally familiar to the local room.
- PAWSA (sat 54, 2 Miami shows), Beltran (sat 52, played Miami 2 days out) and Miami-native Danny Daze (sat 52) make the Club Space tech-house lane the most locally-worked part of the bill: great value, lower novelty for this crowd.
- Charlotte de Witte played Miami ~8 days before the on-sale read (sat 52), recent regional presence.
- Upside: KETTAMA, Four Tet, HAAi, Floating Points and the Euro-underground block carry their saturation in other markets, comparatively fresh for South Florida.
Streaming ≠ tickets
The number a streaming chart hides, RA live-conversion relative to streaming reach. On a curator bill like this, the contrast is the whole point:
Converts above its weight
- Seth Troxler, conversion 98/100 on just 0.1M listeners
- Floating Points, conversion 88/100 on just 0.7M listeners
- Sam Alfred, conversion 85/100 on just 0.2M listeners
- HAAi, conversion 82/100 on just 0.5M listeners
- Roman Flügel, conversion 82/100 on just 0.1M listeners
- VTSS, conversion 79/100 on just 0.2M listeners
Niche draw > streaming size, the value end of the bill. Seth Troxler turns 0.1M listeners into a 98/100 room read.
Big streams, soft live demand
- Adam Port, 14.2M listeners but conversion 2/100
- Cloonee, 9.5M listeners but conversion 2/100
Plus Disco Lines, 20.7M listeners, the bill's biggest streamer, but no RA booking footprint yet. Great for the on-sale headline, riskier as a room-filling underground booking.
Who actually drives ticket sales
Three jobs on this bill, and they barely overlap. The marquee / curation (Underworld, Lil' Kim, Four Tet, Blood Orange, Charlotte de Witte) sells the on-sale and the festival's eclectic identity. The Club Space tech-house engine (Marco Carola b2b Franky Rizardo, PAWSA, Cloonee, Beltran, KETTAMA) converts Miami's dance core, the city's home-court genre. And the underground-credibility block (Seth Troxler, Floating Points, HAAi, Roman Flügel, 999999999, VTSS, all high live-conversion) sells the curatorial bona fides and over-delivers in the room. The hidden engine, as always, is live-conversion: Seth Troxler's 98/100 on 0.1M listeners is the exact inverse of Adam Port's 14M-listener / conversion-2 profile, and a discerning buyer wants the former.
The tracked acts, by the numbers
| Artist | Rank | Est. fee | Mom. | Value | Conv. | BP | RA |
| Charlotte de Witte |
#6 |
$85,000 |
25 |
— |
13 |
77 |
49 |
| Four Tet |
#20 |
$90,000 |
16 |
Priced ahead |
43 |
11 |
76 |
| Vintage Culture b2b Max Styler |
#24 |
$70,000 |
56 |
— |
32 |
93 |
82 |
| PAWSA |
#25 |
$45,000 |
72 |
★ Strong buy |
37 |
67 |
85 |
| Cloonee |
#26 |
$60,000 |
59 |
— |
2 |
74 |
42 |
| Marco Carola b2b Franky Rizardo |
#28 |
$95,000 |
41 |
★ Strong buy |
34 |
73 |
58 |
| Seth Troxler |
#33 |
$35,000 |
23 |
— |
98 |
— |
84 |
| Adam Port |
#35 |
$70,000 |
73 |
— |
2 |
91 |
43 |
| Tiga |
#42 |
$30,000 |
37 |
— |
39 |
64 |
48 |
| Max Dean b2b Luke Dean |
#50 |
$22,000 |
45 |
— |
— |
88 |
— |
| Beltran b2b Ben Sterling |
#60 |
$35,000 |
70 |
— |
65 |
41 |
54 |
| KETTAMA |
#66 |
$40,000 |
40 |
★ Strong buy |
71 |
38 |
76 |
| Honey Dijon |
#71 |
$50,000 |
24 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| Floating Points |
#86 |
$50,000 |
36 |
— |
88 |
— |
65 |
| HAAi |
#94 |
$30,000 |
38 |
Underpriced |
82 |
— |
80 |
| Roddy Lima |
#125 |
$10,000 |
60 |
— |
— |
67 |
— |
| Roman Flügel |
#144 |
$20,000 |
53 |
— |
82 |
20 |
51 |
| Disco Lines |
#160 |
$45,000 |
41 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| Discip |
#178 |
$14,000 |
83 |
— |
— |
53 |
— |
| DJ Harvey |
#227 |
$38,000 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
46 |
| 999999999 |
#229 |
$35,000 |
48 |
— |
61 |
— |
51 |
| Ahmed Spins b2b Rafael |
#236 |
$16,000 |
57 |
— |
50 |
77 |
38 |
| Danny Daze |
#240 |
$18,000 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
54 |
| VTSS |
#242 |
$28,000 |
50 |
— |
79 |
— |
67 |
| Brunello |
#254 |
$9,000 |
55 |
— |
— |
99 |
— |
| Sam Alfred |
#259 |
$11,000 |
47 |
— |
85 |
— |
64 |
| Dean Turnley |
#305 |
$10,000 |
71 |
— |
— |
61 |
4 |
| Marco Strous |
#318 |
$9,000 |
59 |
— |
30 |
— |
28 |
| Chasewest |
#323 |
$9,000 |
50 |
— |
75 |
— |
42 |
Method & caveats. Booking fees are PEAKTIME editorial estimates for a US festival booking (USD), not confirmed contracts: actual fees vary with routing, exclusivity and timing. We costed a curated top 62 of the bill; the full III Points lineup (including the Club Space b2b undercard) is larger. b2b and "presents" slots are costed as a single line. Rank, momentum, value, live-conversion, Beatport, RA and Miami-saturation figures are live from thedjrankings.com for the 29 acts the roster currently tracks: PEAKTIME covers house/techno/electronic, so the hip-hop and indie lanes show as untracked by design. Demand signals from public sources (Spotify, Beatport, Resident Advisor, Google Trends, Wikipedia). Not affiliated with III Points or its promoters.
PEAKTIME · the demand index for electronic music · thedjrankings.com